Everybody is asking why the 2024 election went the way it did, and there are tons of articles suddenly talking about what happened, how they saw it coming. You know the drill. For me and my legions of fans, nothing unexpected happened. But I'll throw my hat in the ring and give my opinion regarding what happened and why. And yes, I’ll spike the football because I was right. At least I can admit I lack discipline.
The first order of business is Trump’s message of “America first” versus “democracy is on the ballot and Trump is a bad guy”. Now those two messages are not the same. America first is not a bad thing. Why would it be?
When people ask a Democratic Party voter why we should continue sending money to other countries (Ukraine) so that they can protect their border – you never get a good answer, if you get one at all. Why don't we send our own resources to our border instead? Someone who's been indoctrinated and has a Ukrainian flag in their bio for social media can't come up with a good answer in person or online.
Twitter and Instagram and Facebook are digital spaces, not real spaces. So, when someone asks, as many did, and an answer isn't coming forth or making sense, it contributed to the Trump win. Musk’s purchase of Xitter also stifled the screaming, blocking, and shadow banning of dissident questions like the one above. That was yuge.
Stated differently, democracy was never on the ballot. Their version of democracy, to your recent Democratic Party candidate and supporter, democracy and its votes matter ... unless the votes don't go their way. That's not democracy being on the ballot, and everybody knows it.
That's the problem with the current day Democratic Party, which left me a long time ago. You use ‘democracy on the ballot’ as an empty phrase.
We've seen this in the EU, we've seen it in the United States, we've seen it in various states of the union. When ballot initiatives go against the Globalist Corporate Democratic Party, lawfare instantly comes into play.
We are witnessing this with the Washington State ballot initiative No. 2066 that codified the usage of natural gas and consumer freedom. The Sierra Club types had already ginned up their legal machine in case the vote, the Democratic vote, didn't go their way. It looks like it hasn’t, and the lawyers are about to make a killing, all because the fringe environmentalists didn’t get their way. Again, that’s not “Democracy”.
Second point: Kamala Harris came from California. It is easy to find dispassionate, even-handed, cogent, thoughtful analyses of what has happened in California in the recent political past.
California went from a wonderful place to live, with a serious amount of population inflow to a state where drug use is legal, stealing anything under $900 is legal, CVS stores must have the toothpaste and deodorant and hair care products behind glass because thieves roam around. Additionally, it is a one-party state where politicians are talking about all kinds of idiotic, crime-ridden ballot initiatives in the name of ‘reform’. These ‘reforms’ have already failed, yet they’re introduced continuously, so California hemorrhages hundreds of thousands of people annually. Why would you vote for a politician who represented that ethos? People don’t like crime ridden neighborhoods. Brat Summer and The Politics of Joy don’t work as a counter measure.
Nobody wants that. No sane person wants that. You have to be in a bubble, or in denial, or completely in the dark - if you want California to be your country.
I've mentioned this before, the border issue is a serious one. Corporate Media and Social Media True Believers are wringing their hands and howling about how the black population and the hispanic population didn't follow the script. It's baffling to watch. Your garden-variety white liberal is talking about the racism and misogyny of the Hispanic and Black population, particularly the men. This is typified in the Joe Scarborough comments on MSNBC. I would link to the video clip, but it’s too gross.
How dare those people not do as they're told? They're voting, to use a current popular phrase, in their best interests. In 56 percent Hispanic Bronx County in New York City, Trump’s share increased from 9 percent in 2016 to 16 percent in 2020 to 27 percent in 2024. Even more spectacularly, some heavily Hispanic parts of blue-state New Jersey, such as 43 percent Latino Passaic County, flipped to Trump. Where I work, school seats and resources are being used for people who did not come through the legal immigration system.
Why are Muslim counties in Southern Michigan voting for Trump? I don’t think anyone in the Harris campaign will even ask the question.
And when a candidate is talking about how ‘democracy is on the ballot’ instead of real issues like the porous and dangerous southern border of the United States, you're going to lose. This is Politics 101. You don’t get to play politics on Easy Mode all the time.
Lastly, one of the things that continually comes up is that people are tired of getting lectured about “climate change”. It doesn't make a difference what you or I feel about climate change or global warming when eggs are $6.99 a dozen. And that cannot be dismissed as a Republican talking point.
Leonardo DiCaprio endorsed Kamala Harris because of her Climate policies. DiCaprio’s yacht holds 115,000 gallons of diesel fuel and produces 238kg of carbon dioxide per mile – almost as much as the average British car emits in two months. When someone can explain how that’s good politics, I’m all ears.
There is a more practical side as well. The carbon emissions of the planet in 2050 are completely irrelevant when your car insurance monthly premiums have doubled, as mine have.
Insurance premiums spike because the actuaries see how expensive things are to replace and fix in the cities with the new crime friendly ‘reforms’. Now, your monthly rate is higher. You're told that you're supposed to worry about climate change, while you can't afford to live.
How is that a winning ticket? How does that work in an election? That's not how it's going to go. Then, if you look a little bit further and you look at the carbon emissions and coal usage of China and India and Southeast Asia, you realize that climate change is not an issue for the United States. It's an issue for the rest of the world. From Doomberg:
The world burned more coal last year than any year in human history. The United States is not responsible for that. People howling about the weather next year or in 30 years and how it's going to end the world becomes an annoyance, not a reason to vote for anyone. The Chicken Little act gets old. Eventually you lose trust, while inflation eating away at your paycheck becomes priority number one. In effect, this election has ended Climate Change. COP 29 is next week, and no one is going, and no one cares.
All of these factors, along with being unable to play the COVID election steal card, caused a rout and a true Trumpslide.
I guess the third time is a charm.
Douglas, your points are valid and some of them hold tremendous merit. However, there is such a thing as over-reach. Americans' don't like 1-party rule. How Trump controls all branches of government, I do not think will serve anyone well. Our country is in constant whiplash mode. One year we are free to travel to Cuba the next year we are not. Who is to say that Trump wont want to put Obama Care back on the firing line? I'm not enamored with it. But, I also believe patients with pre-existing conditions shall be allowed to keep their health insurance, no matter what.
I also never saw a Republican Congress that didn't like a tax-cut. That contributes to inflation as well, and it erodes the baseline for what is an acceptable tax-base. I don't think people bringing in half-a million a year (or higher) should have the same low tax rate as someone only making $50-75K a year. That is just bad economics, and stupid math!
I will agree with you that Democrats clearly have been bad at wielding power. How we got to a Trump Part II, when "Democracy was on the line", makes the Dems look incredibly feckless and weak. The knives are out big time within the Democratic tent. It's quite the circular firing squad going on now, some of it a bit justified. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/17/slotkin-gallego-harris-battleground-states-democrats-00190048
But, I will also say, and this might be a side-note from your larger point, that you seem to disregard "the cult of personality". Trump is certainly one! Obama is too. It's a shame they never went head-to-head, as Trump could have taken his shot in 2012. Clearly he ducked Obama much like Tyson probably should have ducked Jake Paul this past Friday ;-)
As I said on another of your posts, I believe Democracy was very much on the ballot in 2024 -and the group that was the actual threat to Democracy can not understand why they did not win.
Re: Muslim communities: Ali Sultan has a bit where he talks about how when he was in school the teacher said, "They hate us for our freedom?" He talks about living in a country with no operating government is the most freedom you can have. He says he wants to live in a country where there are consequences for jaywalking.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y45yvjDKwKg